Protect Assets. Beat Averages.
With Science.

Professional asset managers need more than stories and opinions.
You need quantitative analysis that identifies risks before losses occur—
and opportunities the market misprices.

9 Proprietary Ratings

Billions of Data Points

15,000 Companies

40-Year Financials

Your Clients Expect Fiduciary Excellence.
The Market Doesn’t Care.

Complexity

Protecting assets from permanent capital impairment requires analyzing balance sheets, income statements, cash flows, and valuation extremes across thousands of securities.

Noise

Sell-side research, media hype, and momentum traders create dangerous disconnects between price and value. Stories replace analysis.

Accountability

Your fiduciary duty demands you identify risks before losses occur—not explain them afterward. You need probability-based risk assessment, not backward-looking ratios.

The Gap

Traditional research platforms give you lagging metrics, analyst opinions, and price targets.
What you actually need: Forward-looking risk probabilities based on fundamental financial deterioration patterns.

We Built What Asset Managers Actually Need

Equity Risk Sciences analyzed 40 years of financial data across 15,000 companies to identify the statistical patterns that precede losses. We don’t predict prices. We calculate the probability of financial deterioration—then let you decide if the risk/reward justifies the position.

We know you’re drowning in data but starving for actionable intelligence. We know sell-side research won’t tell you when to sell. We know your clients hold you accountable for losses, not the pundits who recommended the stock.

That’s why we built ERS.

How ERS Works: Three Steps to Better Risk Management

Analyze

Input any portfolio or ticker. Our 9 proprietary ratings instantly quantify risk across balance sheet strength, earnings quality, valuation extremes, and historical deterioration patterns.

Identify

See which holdings have high Loss Indicator™ (LI) scores, extreme Price Risk Indicators™ (PRI), or poor Fiduciary Stock Navigator™ (FSN) ratings. Understand why statistically—not anecdotally.

Act

Use our quantitative risk framework to rebalance portfolios, avoid speculative positions, and fulfill your fiduciary duty with documented, defensible analysis.

ERS’s 9 Proprietary Stock Risk Ratings

Unlike traditional Wall Street analysts that rely on opinions, estimates, and qualitative factors, ERS’s ratings are 100% quantitative—
derived from actual financial statement data and 40-year statistical patterns.

Billions of Data Points. Decades of Patterns
Zero Guesswork.

15,000

Companies

Complete coverage of US equities with full fundamental data—not just the S&P 500.

40

Year Histories

Financial statements, ratios, and price data going back four decades. We see what happened in ’87, 2000, 2008, 2020—and what preceded each crash.

Billions

of Data Points

Every line item, every ratio, every pattern—quantified, normalized, and analyzed for statistical significance.

What This Means for You

When NVIDIA trades at 50x sales (top 0.1% historically), we don’t tell you a story.
We show you what happened to the last 100 companies that traded at similar extremes.

Spoiler: It wasn’t good.

Case Study: What Traditional Research Missed

Example: NVIDIA (2024)

What Wall Street Said

  • “Strong AI demand justifies premium valuation”
  • “Buy on any dip”
  • “Price target: $200+”
  • “Revolutionary technology warrants exceptional multiples”

What ERS Data Showed

  • PRI: -201 (valuation extreme)
  • Trading at 50x sales (99.9th percentile historically)
  • Historical pattern: When ERS’s ratings have indicated high risk, NVIDIA’s returns have underperformed their own historic averages

The Fiduciary Question

Is this an appropriate holding for a conservative portfolio? Our data says no. What does yours say?

The Choice is Clear

Without ERS

  • Hold speculative stocks without quantifying downside risk
  • Rely on analyst opinions and momentum
  • Explain losses to clients after they occur
  • Face fiduciary liability for undisclosed risks
  • Underperform risk-adjusted benchmarks

With ERS

  • Identify high-risk positions before losses occur
  • Document fiduciary due diligence with quantitative analysis
  • Avoid valuation extremes that destroy capital
  • Construct portfolios with asymmetric risk/reward profiles
  • Beat averages through disciplined, data-driven investing

Start Protecting Assets Today.

Questions? Call us:
(401) 450-4040  |  (203) 254-0000  |  (617) 684-3900